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Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 3, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Centenario
C

Racing
1 - 1
Corinthians

Alaniz (85')
Rodriguez (84'), Pereira (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Alberto (69')
Hugo (14'), Garro (89')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Racing de Montevideo and Corinthians.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cerro Largo 0-2 Racing
Friday, March 29 at 3.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Coritiba 0-2 Corinthians
Thursday, December 7 at 12.30am in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 54.1%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Racing de Montevideo had a probability of 20.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.03%) and 1-2 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a Racing de Montevideo win it was 1-0 (7.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.

Result
Racing de MontevideoDrawCorinthians
20.28% (0.525 0.52) 25.62% (-0.462 -0.46) 54.1% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)
Both teams to score 44.61% (1.886 1.89)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.6% (2.099 2.1)57.4% (-2.098 -2.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.79% (1.639 1.64)78.21% (-1.64 -1.64)
Racing de Montevideo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.67% (1.81 1.81)43.33% (-1.809 -1.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.43% (1.476 1.48)79.57% (-1.476 -1.48)
Corinthians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.72% (0.839 0.84)21.28% (-0.839 -0.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.79% (1.28 1.28)54.21% (-1.28 -1.28)
Score Analysis
    Racing de Montevideo 20.28%
    Corinthians 54.09%
    Draw 25.61%
Racing de MontevideoDrawCorinthians
1-0 @ 7.71% (-0.23 -0.23)
2-1 @ 4.99% (0.225 0.23)
2-0 @ 3.23% (0.066 0.07)
3-1 @ 1.39% (0.128 0.13)
3-2 @ 1.08% (0.123 0.12)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 20.28%
1-1 @ 11.93% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 9.22% (-0.765 -0.76)
2-2 @ 3.86% (0.266 0.27)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 25.61%
0-1 @ 14.26% (-0.8 -0.8)
0-2 @ 11.03% (-0.33 -0.33)
1-2 @ 9.23% (0.193 0.19)
0-3 @ 5.69% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.76% (0.216 0.22)
0-4 @ 2.2% (0.048 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.99% (0.183 0.18)
1-4 @ 1.84% (0.128 0.13)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 54.09%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Cerro Largo 0-2 Racing
Friday, March 29 at 3.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Racing 1-2 Penarol
Saturday, March 16 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Progreso 4-3 Racing
Sunday, March 10 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Racing 2-0 Cerro Largo
Thursday, March 7 at 10pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Racing 1-2 Defensor
Saturday, March 2 at 1pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Wanderers 0-1 Racing
Friday, February 23 at 11.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Coritiba 0-2 Corinthians
Thursday, December 7 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Corinthians 1-2 Internacional
Saturday, December 2 at 9pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Vasco 2-4 Corinthians
Wednesday, November 29 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Corinthians 1-5 Bahia
Saturday, November 25 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Gremio 0-1 Corinthians
Sunday, November 12 at 7pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Corinthians 1-1 Atletico Mineiro
Thursday, November 9 at 10pm in Brasileiro


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