Gremio
8 - 0
Aragua

Fernando (3', 18'), Souza (21' pen.), Ferreira (22', 24'), Fernandez (28' og.), Souza (64' pen.), Churin (77')

FT(HT: 6-0)

Yeguez (20'), Alvarez (56')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Gremio and Aragua.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 48.69%. A win for Aragua had a probability of 29.17% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.61%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Aragua win was 1-2 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.58%). The actual scoreline of 8-0 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gremio would win this match.

Result
Gremio	Draw	Aragua
48.69%	22.14%	29.17%

Both teams to score 65.29%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.41%

34.58%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.47%

56.52%

Gremio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.34%

14.66%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.19%

42.81%

Aragua Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.51%

23.49%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.48%

57.52%

Score Analysis

Gremio 48.69%

Aragua 29.17%

Draw 22.14%

Gremio	Draw	Aragua
2-1 @ 9.2% 1-0 @ 6.61% 2-0 @ 6.35% 3-1 @ 5.88% 3-2 @ 4.26% 3-0 @ 4.06% 4-1 @ 2.82% 4-2 @ 2.05% 4-0 @ 1.95% 5-1 @ 1.08% 4-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 3.43% Total : 48.69%	1-1 @ 9.58% 2-2 @ 6.66% 0-0 @ 3.44% 3-3 @ 2.06% Other @ 0.4% Total : 22.14%	1-2 @ 6.94% 0-1 @ 4.99% 0-2 @ 3.61% 1-3 @ 3.35% 2-3 @ 3.22% 0-3 @ 1.75% 1-4 @ 1.21% 2-4 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.94% Total : 29.17%