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Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 6, 2021 at 11.15pm UK
Arena do GrĂªmio

Gremio
8 - 0
Aragua

Fernando (3', 18'), Souza (21' pen.), Ferreira (22', 24'), Fernandez (28' og.), Souza (64' pen.), Churin (77')
FT(HT: 6-0)

Yeguez (20'), Alvarez (56')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Gremio and Aragua.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 48.69%. A win for Aragua had a probability of 29.17% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.61%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Aragua win was 1-2 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.58%). The actual scoreline of 8-0 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gremio would win this match.

Result
GremioDrawAragua
48.69%22.14%29.17%
Both teams to score 65.29%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.41%34.58%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.47%56.52%
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.34%14.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.19%42.81%
Aragua Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.51%23.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.48%57.52%
Score Analysis
    Gremio 48.69%
    Aragua 29.17%
    Draw 22.14%
GremioDrawAragua
2-1 @ 9.2%
1-0 @ 6.61%
2-0 @ 6.35%
3-1 @ 5.88%
3-2 @ 4.26%
3-0 @ 4.06%
4-1 @ 2.82%
4-2 @ 2.05%
4-0 @ 1.95%
5-1 @ 1.08%
4-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 48.69%
1-1 @ 9.58%
2-2 @ 6.66%
0-0 @ 3.44%
3-3 @ 2.06%
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 22.14%
1-2 @ 6.94%
0-1 @ 4.99%
0-2 @ 3.61%
1-3 @ 3.35%
2-3 @ 3.22%
0-3 @ 1.75%
1-4 @ 1.21%
2-4 @ 1.17%
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 29.17%

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