SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guairena win with a probability of 43.46%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for 9 de Octubre had a probability of 27.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guairena win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.78%) and 2-1 (8.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.15%), while for a 9 de Octubre win it was 0-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Guairena in this match.
| Result | ||
| Guairena | Draw | 9 de Octubre |
| 43.46% | 28.82% | 27.72% |
| Both teams to score 43.24% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.19% | 62.8% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.67% | 82.32% |
| Guairena Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.25% | 28.75% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.41% | 64.59% |
| 9 de Octubre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.69% | 39.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.99% | 76.01% |
| Score Analysis |
| Guairena | Draw | 9 de Octubre |
| 1-0 @ 14.08% 2-0 @ 8.78% 2-1 @ 8.2% 3-0 @ 3.65% 3-1 @ 3.41% 3-2 @ 1.59% 4-0 @ 1.14% 4-1 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.55% Total : 43.45% | 1-1 @ 13.15% 0-0 @ 11.3% 2-2 @ 3.83% Other @ 0.53% Total : 28.81% | 0-1 @ 10.55% 1-2 @ 6.14% 0-2 @ 4.93% 1-3 @ 1.91% 0-3 @ 1.53% 2-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.47% Total : 27.72% |
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