Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 37.89%. A win for General Caballero JLM had a probability of 35.36% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest General Caballero JLM win was 0-1 (9.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente would win this match.
