Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Godoy Cruz win with a probability of 41.88%. A win for Independiente had a probability of 31.16% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Godoy Cruz win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Independiente win was 0-1 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
