Lanus have not been able to settle into a consistent rhythm throughout the year, and their opening leg of this encounter showed their vulnerabilities.
While the team from Ecuador never seem to make it easy on themselves, we expect them to do enough to earn a result and advance to the next round.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 51.61%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Independiente del Valle had a probability of 23.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for a Independiente del Valle win it was 0-1 (7.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
0.02) 
-0.02) 
