Despite some good results of late, Melgar have found the net only five times in their last eight matches, so could find themselves out of their depth against experienced opponents.
Perhaps over-reliant on captain Cuesta, the hosts may be heading to Porto Alegre next week with a deficit to retrieve.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melgar win with a probability of 50.41%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Internacional had a probability of 23.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melgar win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.7%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for a Internacional win it was 0-1 (8.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
0.04) 
-0.04) 
