SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenix win with a probability of 37.22%. A win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 34.16% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenix win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.74%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Montevideo Wanderers win was 0-1 (11.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fenix | Draw | Montevideo Wanderers |
37.22% ( -0.21) | 28.61% ( -0.01) | 34.16% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 45.9% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.46% ( 0.06) | 60.54% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.35% ( 0.04) | 80.65% ( -0.04) |
| Fenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.74% ( -0.1) | 31.25% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.4% ( -0.12) | 67.6% ( 0.12) |
| Montevideo Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.76% ( 0.18) | 33.23% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.15% ( 0.2) | 69.84% ( -0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fenix | Draw | Montevideo Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 12.08% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 7.74% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.03% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 3% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.72% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.65% ( -0)Other @ 3% Total : 37.22% | 1-1 @ 13.3% 0-0 @ 10.38% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.26% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.6% | 0-1 @ 11.44% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.33% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 6.3% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.52% Total : 34.16% |
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