SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 43.54%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for La Luz had a probability of 27.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.88%) and 2-1 (8.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.16%), while for a La Luz win it was 0-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Danubio would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Danubio | Draw | La Luz |
43.54% ( -0.83) | 29.05% ( -0.01) | 27.41% ( 0.84) |
| Both teams to score 42.47% ( 0.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.33% ( 0.4) | 63.67% ( -0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.05% ( 0.28) | 82.95% ( -0.28) |
| Danubio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.87% ( -0.25) | 29.13% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.94% ( -0.31) | 65.06% ( 0.31) |
| La Luz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.93% ( 0.95) | 40.06% ( -0.96) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.29% ( 0.86) | 76.71% ( -0.86) |
| Score Analysis |
| Danubio | Draw | La Luz |
| 1-0 @ 14.39% ( -0.32) 2-0 @ 8.88% ( -0.26)2-1 @ 8.12% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.65% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 3.34% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.53% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.48% Total : 43.53% | 1-1 @ 13.16% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 11.67% ( -0.17)2-2 @ 3.71% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.5% Total : 29.04% | 0-1 @ 10.67% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 6.02% ( 0.18)0-2 @ 4.88% ( 0.18)1-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.37% Total : 27.4% |
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