SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 55.49%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Danubio had a probability of 20.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.24%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.31%), while for a Danubio win it was 0-1 (6.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Defensor Sporting | Draw | Danubio |
55.49% ( 0.3) | 23.8% ( -0.1) | 20.71% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 50.34% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.89% ( 0.16) | 50.11% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.92% ( 0.14) | 72.08% ( -0.14) |
| Defensor Sporting Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.08% ( 0.17) | 17.92% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.28% ( 0.29) | 48.72% ( -0.29) |
| Danubio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.32% ( -0.12) | 38.68% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.58% ( -0.12) | 75.41% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Defensor Sporting | Draw | Danubio |
| 1-0 @ 11.91% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 10.24% ( 0.05)2-1 @ 9.73% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.87% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 5.58% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.52% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.4% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.44% Total : 55.48% | 1-1 @ 11.31% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.93% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.62% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.93% Total : 23.79% | 0-1 @ 6.58% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.47% Total : 20.71% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
