Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Jun 8, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Ramon Aguilera Costas
Rojas Cespedes (87')
David Villalba Jacquet (36'), Paz (85'),
Sanchez (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Valdeci (30'),
Nunez (43'), David Villalba Jacquet (78' og.)
Medina (42')
Form, Standings, Stats
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We said: Oriente Petrolero 1-1 Tacuary
Both teams have struggled defensively of late, and it is hard to see either of them coming away with a clean sheet. We are backing a share of the spoils with honours even at the end of the 90 minutes.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oriente Petrolero win with a probability of 56.21%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Tacuary had a probability of 19.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oriente Petrolero win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.02%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%), while for a Tacuary win it was 0-1 (6.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
| Result |
| Oriente Petrolero | Draw | Tacuary |
56.21% ( -0.16) | 24.33% ( 0.05) | 19.46% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 46.92% ( 0.03) |
| 46.32% ( -0.05) | 53.68% ( 0.05) |
| 24.83% ( -0.04) | 75.17% ( 0.04) |
| 81.02% ( -0.08) | 18.98% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.48% ( -0.13) | 50.52% ( 0.13) |
| 57.91% ( 0.1) | 42.08% ( -0.1) |
