SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 44.12%. A win for Oriente Petrolero had a probability of 30.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (7.48%). The likeliest Oriente Petrolero win was 1-0 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bragantino would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Oriente Petrolero | Draw | Bragantino |
30.53% ( -0.5) | 25.34% ( 0.12) | 44.12% ( 0.37) |
| Both teams to score 54.81% ( -0.64) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.28% ( -0.73) | 48.71% ( 0.72) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.17% ( -0.66) | 70.82% ( 0.66) |
| Oriente Petrolero Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.31% ( -0.7) | 29.68% ( 0.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.26% ( -0.86) | 65.73% ( 0.86) |
| Bragantino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.95% ( -0.13) | 22.05% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.61% ( -0.2) | 55.38% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Oriente Petrolero | Draw | Bragantino |
| 1-0 @ 7.95% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 7.3% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 4.83% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 2.96% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 1.95% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.31% Total : 30.53% | 1-1 @ 12.01% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.54% ( 0.19)2-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.34% | 0-1 @ 9.89% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 9.09% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 7.48% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 4.58% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.77% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 1.73% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.33% Total : 44.12% |
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