Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 57.29%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Tacuary had a probability of 18.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.05%) and 1-2 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.25%), while for a Tacuary win it was 1-0 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estudiantes would win this match.
-0.17) 
0.2) 
