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Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 7, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Centenario

Racing
2 - 1
Argentinos Jrs

Veron (20'), De Los Santos (27')
Nandin (40')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Gondou (32')
Veron (23'), Prieto (65')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Racing de Montevideo and Argentinos Juniors.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nacional 4-2 Racing
Saturday, May 4 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 55.02%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Racing de Montevideo had a probability of 18.08%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.22%) and 1-2 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.84%), while for a Racing de Montevideo win it was 1-0 (8.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result
Racing de MontevideoDrawArgentinos Juniors
18.08% (0.033999999999999 0.03) 26.9% (0.013999999999999 0.01) 55.02% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)
Both teams to score 38.48% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.26% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)63.74% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)82.99% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Racing de Montevideo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.34% (0.039000000000001 0.04)49.65% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.58% (0.026999999999999 0.03)84.42% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Argentinos Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.43% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)23.56% (0.020999999999997 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.37% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)57.62% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Racing de Montevideo 18.08%
    Argentinos Juniors 55.01%
    Draw 26.89%
Racing de MontevideoDrawArgentinos Juniors
1-0 @ 8.19% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
2-1 @ 4.15% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
2-0 @ 2.87% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-1 @ 0.97% (0.003 0)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 18.08%
1-1 @ 11.84% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 11.7%
2-2 @ 3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 26.89%
0-1 @ 16.91% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 12.22% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.56%
0-3 @ 5.89% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.12% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 2.13% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.49% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.44% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 55.01%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Nacional 4-2 Racing
Saturday, May 4 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Racing 2-0 Fenix
Monday, April 29 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Nacional 2-2 Racing
Thursday, April 25 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Racing 1-1 Cerro
Friday, April 19 at 5.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Rampla 0-1 Racing
Sunday, April 14 at 2pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 0-3 Racing
Tuesday, April 9 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 0-0 Velez Sarsfield (2-4 pen.)
Sunday, April 28 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 1-0 Corinthians
Wednesday, April 24 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 1-1 Defensa (3-2 pen.)
Saturday, April 20 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 3-3 Barracas Central
Tuesday, April 16 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 0-3 Racing
Tuesday, April 9 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 0-0 Argentinos Jrs
Friday, April 5 at 11.30pm in Argentine Primera Division


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