SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 48.25%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 24.73%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.6%) and 2-1 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.61%), while for a Velez Sarsfield win it was 0-1 (8.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Argentinos Juniors | Draw | Velez Sarsfield |
48.25% ( 0.78) | 27.03% ( -0.22) | 24.73% ( -0.56) |
| Both teams to score 45.78% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.51% ( 0.39) | 58.49% ( -0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.93% ( 0.3) | 79.07% ( -0.3) |
| Argentinos Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.67% ( 0.54) | 24.33% ( -0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.28% ( 0.76) | 58.72% ( -0.76) |
| Velez Sarsfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.49% ( -0.29) | 39.51% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.8% ( -0.27) | 76.2% ( 0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Argentinos Juniors | Draw | Velez Sarsfield |
| 1-0 @ 13.58% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.6% ( 0.16)2-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 4.52% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 4.2% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.6% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 1.49% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.38% Total : 48.24% | 1-1 @ 12.61% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 9.61% ( -0.14)2-2 @ 4.14% ( 0)Other @ 0.66% Total : 27.02% | 0-1 @ 8.93% ( -0.2) 1-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 4.15% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.42% Total : 24.73% |
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