Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coritiba win with a probability of 43.16%. A win for Corinthians had a probability of 30% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coritiba win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Corinthians win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
0.37) 
-0.11) 
