SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 53.88%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Bath Rugby had a probability of 21.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a Bath Rugby win it was 0-1 (7.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bragantino | Draw | Bath Rugby |
53.88% ( 0.29) | 24.46% ( 0.19) | 21.66% ( -0.48) |
| Both teams to score 49.67% ( -1.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.34% ( -1.26) | 51.66% ( 1.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.56% ( -1.11) | 73.44% ( 1.11) |
| Bragantino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.89% ( -0.37) | 19.11% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.27% ( -0.62) | 50.73% ( 0.62) |
| Bath Rugby Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.4% ( -1.18) | 38.59% ( 1.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.66% ( -1.14) | 75.34% ( 1.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bragantino | Draw | Bath Rugby |
| 1-0 @ 12.2% ( 0.47) 2-0 @ 10.1% ( 0.27)2-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 5.57% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 5.31% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.13)4-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.2% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.01% Total : 53.87% | 1-1 @ 11.62% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 7.37% ( 0.36)2-2 @ 4.58% ( -0.17)Other @ 0.89% Total : 24.46% | 0-1 @ 7.02% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.5% Total : 21.66% |
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