Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 44.46%. A draw had a probability of 31.7% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 23.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 2-1 (7.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (16.01%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 16% likelihood.

Result
Gimnasia	Draw	Sarmiento
44.46% ( 0.01)	31.68%	23.86% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 34.51% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

27.79% (

-0.01)

72.21% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

11.39% (

-0.01)

88.62% (

Gimnasia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.95%

33.05% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.36% (

69.65% (

-0)

Sarmiento Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.55% (

-0.02)

48.45% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.44% (

-0.01)

83.56% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Gimnasia 44.45%

Sarmiento 23.86%

Draw 31.67%

Gimnasia	Draw	Sarmiento
1-0 @ 17.72% 2-0 @ 9.81% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.11% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.62% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.62% 4-0 @ 1% 3-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.61% Total : 44.45%	0-0 @ 16.01% 1-1 @ 12.84% 2-2 @ 2.58% ( -0) Other @ 0.24% Total : 31.67%	0-1 @ 11.6% 1-2 @ 4.66% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.21% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.12% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 1.26% Total : 23.86%