SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 61.5%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 16.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.58%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for a Bologna win it was 0-1 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fiorentina | Draw | Bologna |
61.5% ( -0.13) | 22.05% ( 0.13) | 16.44% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 48.17% ( -0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.88% ( -0.55) | 49.12% ( 0.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.81% ( -0.5) | 71.19% ( 0.5) |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.53% ( -0.23) | 15.47% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.66% ( -0.43) | 44.34% ( 0.43) |
| Bologna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.99% ( -0.33) | 43.01% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.7% ( -0.28) | 79.3% ( 0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fiorentina | Draw | Bologna |
| 1-0 @ 12.41% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 11.58% ( 0.08)2-1 @ 9.78% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 7.21% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.08% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 3.36% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.84% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.15% Total : 61.49% | 1-1 @ 10.47% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.65% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 4.12% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.8% Total : 22.05% | 0-1 @ 5.61% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.37% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.64% Total : 16.44% |
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