Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ascoli win with a probability of 42.19%. A win for Modena had a probability of 30.59% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ascoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Modena win was 0-1 (9.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
Ascoli	Draw	Modena
42.19% ( -0.02)	27.21% ( -0.01)	30.59% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 49.03% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.81% (

0.04)

56.18% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.76% (

0.03)

77.24% (

-0.03)

Ascoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.7% (

0.01)

26.3% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.57% (

0.01)

61.42% (

-0.01)

Modena Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.53% (

0.04)

33.46% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.9% (

0.05)

70.1% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Ascoli 42.19%

Modena 30.59%

Draw 27.2%

Ascoli	Draw	Modena
1-0 @ 11.75% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.59% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.85% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.83% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.5% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.09% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.28% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.17% ( -0) Other @ 2.13% Total : 42.19%	1-1 @ 12.86% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.8% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.7% ( 0) Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.2%	0-1 @ 9.63% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.04% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.27% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.57% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.92% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.72% ( 0) Other @ 2.43% Total : 30.59%