Verona have lost each of their last four Serie A home games; in their top-flight history, they have never suffered five defeats in a row at the Bentegodi. They can avoid such a fate by earning their first win of the season at Samp's expense, as the safety-first visitors are short of confidence up front.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 45.88%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 27.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 0-1 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hellas Verona would win this match.
-0.15) 
0.24) 
