Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 53.53%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Reggina had a probability of 20.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.81%) and 1-2 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Reggina win it was 1-0 (7.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.