Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alessandria win with a probability of 45.05%. A win for Reggina had a probability of 27.83% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alessandria win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Reggina win was 0-1 (9.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
