Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benevento win with a probability of 37.86%. A win for Reggina had a probability of 35.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benevento win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Reggina win was 1-0 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benevento would win this match.
