Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ascoli win with a probability of 46.27%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Reggina had a probability of 26.56%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ascoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.02%) and 2-1 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.74%), while for a Reggina win it was 0-1 (9.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ascoli would win this match.
