Spezia have picked up 22 of their 29 league points against teams in the bottom half of the table, and that share (76%) represents the highest throughout Serie A this season. Also considering Venezia's travails in front of goal - they have not scored in over 200 minutes - the home side should be favoured to edge this one at the Picco. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 46.05%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Venezia had a probability of 26.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.11%) and 2-1 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.83%), while for a Venezia win it was 0-1 (9.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Spezia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Spezia.

Result
Spezia	Draw	Venezia
46.05%	27.53%	26.42%

Both teams to score 45.77%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.82%

59.18%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.39%

79.61%

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.3%

25.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.39%

60.61%

Venezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.6%

38.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.85%

75.15%

Score Analysis

Spezia 46.05%

Venezia 26.42%

Draw 27.52%

Spezia	Draw	Venezia
1-0 @ 13.4% 2-0 @ 9.11% 2-1 @ 8.72% 3-0 @ 4.13% 3-1 @ 3.95% 3-2 @ 1.89% 4-0 @ 1.4% 4-1 @ 1.34% Other @ 2.11% Total : 46.05%	1-1 @ 12.83% 0-0 @ 9.87% 2-2 @ 4.17% Other @ 0.66% Total : 27.52%	0-1 @ 9.44% 1-2 @ 6.14% 0-2 @ 4.52% 1-3 @ 1.96% 0-3 @ 1.44% 2-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 1.58% Total : 26.42%