SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malawi win with a probability of 44.39%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Lesotho had a probability of 27.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malawi win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.8%) and 2-1 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13%), while for a Lesotho win it was 0-1 (9.96%).
| Result | ||
| Malawi | Draw | Lesotho |
44.39% ( -2.52) | 28.04% ( 0.72) | 27.56% ( 1.8) |
| Both teams to score 45.14% ( -0.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.63% ( -1.5) | 60.36% ( 1.5) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.48% ( -1.15) | 80.51% ( 1.15) |
| Malawi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.91% ( -1.96) | 27.09% ( 1.96) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.53% ( -2.63) | 62.46% ( 2.62) |
| Lesotho Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.91% ( 0.7) | 38.08% ( -0.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.15% ( 0.67) | 74.85% ( -0.67) |
| Score Analysis |
| Malawi | Draw | Lesotho |
| 1-0 @ 13.47% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.8% ( -0.5)2-1 @ 8.5% ( -0.31)3-0 @ 3.83% ( -0.45)3-1 @ 3.7% ( -0.36)3-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.13)4-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.23)4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.19)Other @ 1.85% Total : 44.39% | 1-1 @ 13% ( 0.25) 0-0 @ 10.31% ( 0.56)2-2 @ 4.1% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.03% | 0-1 @ 9.96% ( 0.73) 1-2 @ 6.28% ( 0.24)0-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.44)1-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.11)0-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.17)2-3 @ 1.32% ( 0)Other @ 1.63% Total : 27.56% |
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