SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Senegal | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 2 | Guinea | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Malawi | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Zimbabwe | 3 | -1 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Comoros win with a probability of 37.36%. A win for Malawi had a probability of 34.2% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Comoros win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.8%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Malawi win was 1-0 (11.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Malawi | Draw | Comoros |
34.2% ( 0.34) | 28.44% ( 0.13) | 37.36% ( -0.48) |
| Both teams to score 46.39% ( -0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.06% ( -0.45) | 59.93% ( 0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.81% ( -0.34) | 80.19% ( 0.34) |
| Malawi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.1% ( 0) | 32.89% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.53% ( 0) | 69.47% ( -0) |
| Comoros Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.14% ( -0.52) | 30.86% ( 0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.85% ( -0.62) | 67.14% ( 0.61) |
| Score Analysis |
| Malawi | Draw | Comoros |
| 1-0 @ 11.28% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 7.38% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 2.73% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.33% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.59% Total : 34.19% | 1-1 @ 13.27% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 10.15% ( 0.17)2-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.68% Total : 28.44% | 0-1 @ 11.93% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.8% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 7.02% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 3.06% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.1% Total : 37.35% |
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