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COSAFA Cup | Group Stage
Jul 11, 2023 at 2pm UK
Moses Mabhida Stadium
CN
Malawi
2 - 0
Comoros
Kawonga (30' pen.), Mwaungulu (36')
Mwase (72')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Bacar (56'), Boina Bacar (56')
Coverage of the COSAFA Cup Group Stage clash between Malawi and Comoros.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Malawi 2-0 Seychelles
Sunday, July 9 at 5pm in COSAFA Cup
All competitions
COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Zambia 2-1 Comoros
Sunday, July 9 at 2pm in COSAFA Cup
Current Group C Standings P GD PTS
1Morocco337
2Gabon315
3Comoros3-23
4Ghana3-21

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Comoros win with a probability of 37.36%. A win for Malawi had a probability of 34.2% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Comoros win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.8%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Malawi win was 1-0 (11.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
MalawiDrawComoros
34.2% (0.345 0.34) 28.44% (0.134 0.13) 37.36% (-0.482 -0.48)
Both teams to score 46.39% (-0.34699999999999 -0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.06% (-0.447 -0.45)59.93% (0.444 0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.81% (-0.343 -0.34)80.19% (0.34 0.34)
Malawi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.1% (0.0010000000000048 0)32.89% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.53% (0.0019999999999989 0)69.47% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Comoros Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.14% (-0.51900000000001 -0.52)30.86% (0.516 0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.85% (-0.615 -0.62)67.14% (0.61199999999999 0.61)
Score Analysis
    Malawi 34.19%
    Comoros 37.35%
    Draw 28.44%
MalawiDrawComoros
1-0 @ 11.28% (0.19 0.19)
2-1 @ 7.38% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.28% (0.106 0.11)
3-1 @ 2.73% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.33% (0.039 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.61% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 34.19%
1-1 @ 13.27% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 10.15% (0.167 0.17)
2-2 @ 4.34% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 28.44%
0-1 @ 11.93% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 7.8% (-0.091 -0.09)
0-2 @ 7.02% (-0.083 -0.08)
1-3 @ 3.06% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-3 @ 2.75% (-0.072 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.7% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 37.35%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Malawi 2-0 Seychelles
Sunday, July 9 at 5pm in COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Zambia 0-1 Malawi
Thursday, July 6 at 5pm in COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Ethiopia 0-0 Malawi
Tuesday, June 20 at 3pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Mozambique 1-1 Malawi
Wednesday, June 14 at 9am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Malawi 0-4 Egypt
Tuesday, March 28 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Egypt 2-0 Malawi
Friday, March 24 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Zambia 2-1 Comoros
Sunday, July 9 at 2pm in COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Seychelles 0-3 Comoros
Thursday, July 6 at 2pm in COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Lesotho 0-1 Comoros
Saturday, June 17 at 3pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Comoros 0-2 Ivory Coast
Tuesday, March 28 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Ivory Coast 3-1 Comoros
Friday, March 24 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Burkina Faso 2-1 Comoros
Tuesday, September 27 at 8pm in International Friendlies

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