Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zambia win with a probability of 54.76%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Lesotho had a probability of 18.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.17%) and 1-2 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Lesotho win it was 1-0 (8.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zambia would win this match.
Result | ||
Lesotho | Draw | Zambia |
18.21% (![]() | 27.03% (![]() | 54.76% (![]() |
Both teams to score 38.36% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
35.99% (![]() | 64% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
16.81% (![]() | 83.19% (![]() |
Lesotho Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.33% (![]() | 49.66% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.57% (![]() | 84.43% (![]() |
Zambia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.2% (![]() | 23.79% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.04% (![]() | 57.96% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Lesotho | Draw | Zambia |
1-0 @ 8.27% (![]() 2-1 @ 4.16% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 2.89% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.92% Total : 18.21% | 1-1 @ 11.87% (![]() 0-0 @ 11.81% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 2.98% ( ![]() Other @ 0.36% Total : 27.02% | 0-1 @ 16.96% (![]() 0-2 @ 12.17% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 8.52% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 5.83% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.08% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 2.09% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.46% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.43% ( ![]() Other @ 2.2% Total : 54.75% |
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