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Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Mar 26, 2023 at 2pm UK
 
ZN

Lesotho
0 - 2
Zambia


Mokokoana (18')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Daka (14', 69')
Chepeshi (88')
Coverage of the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Group Stage clash between Lesotho and Zambia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Zambia 3-1 Lesotho
Thursday, March 23 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Zambia 3-1 Lesotho
Thursday, March 23 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zambia win with a probability of 54.76%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Lesotho had a probability of 18.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.17%) and 1-2 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Lesotho win it was 1-0 (8.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zambia would win this match.

Result
LesothoDrawZambia
18.21% (0.055999999999997 0.06) 27.03% (0.071000000000002 0.07) 54.76% (-0.126 -0.13)
Both teams to score 38.36% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.99% (-0.147 -0.15)64% (0.14900000000001 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.81% (-0.104 -0.1)83.19% (0.105 0.11)
Lesotho Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.33% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)49.66% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.57% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)84.43% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Zambia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.2% (-0.11999999999999 -0.12)23.79% (0.12 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.04% (-0.174 -0.17)57.96% (0.175 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Lesotho 18.21%
    Zambia 54.75%
    Draw 27.02%
LesothoDrawZambia
1-0 @ 8.27% (0.041 0.04)
2-1 @ 4.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 2.89% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 18.21%
1-1 @ 11.87% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 11.81% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 2.98% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 27.02%
0-1 @ 16.96% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 12.17% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.52% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 5.83% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-3 @ 4.08% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-4 @ 2.09% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.46% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.43% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 54.75%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Zambia 3-1 Lesotho
Thursday, March 23 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Malawi 1-1 Lesotho
Saturday, February 25 at 1pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Eswatini 2-0 Lesotho
Sunday, July 10 at 4pm in COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Lesotho 2-1 Mauritius
Friday, July 8 at 4pm in COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Lesotho 2-1 Malawi
Wednesday, July 6 at 4pm in COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Lesotho 0-0 Ivory Coast
Thursday, June 9 at 6pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Zambia 3-1 Lesotho
Thursday, March 23 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Israel 4-2 Zambia
Thursday, November 17 at 6.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Mali 1-0 Zambia
Friday, September 23 at 8pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Namibia 0-1 Zambia
Sunday, July 17 at 6pm in COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Zambia 4-3 Senegal
Friday, July 15 at 6pm in COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Zambia 1-1 Botswana
Tuesday, July 12 at 4pm in COSAFA Cup


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