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Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 17, 2023 at 3pm UK
Orlando Stadium
CN

Lesotho
0 - 1
Comoros


Thaba-Ntso (15'), Senkoto (40'), Rasethuntsa (47')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Togo 2-0 Lesotho
Wednesday, June 14 at 3pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Comoros 0-2 Ivory Coast
Tuesday, March 28 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Current Group C Standings P GD PTS
1Morocco337
2Gabon315
3Comoros3-23
4Ghana3-21

We said: Lesotho 0-1 Comoros

Goals have been hard to come by for both teams of late and we can see Saturday's contest panning out in similar fashion. That said, we are backing the away side to come out on top, albeit by only a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lesotho win with a probability of 38.73%. A win for Comoros had a probability of 34.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lesotho win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Comoros win was 0-1 (9.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Comoros in this match.

Result
LesothoDrawComoros
38.73% (1.606 1.61) 26.76% (-1.304 -1.3) 34.51% (-0.302 -0.3)
Both teams to score 51.54% (3.98 3.98)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.48% (5.007 5.01)53.52% (-5.007 -5.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.97% (4.068 4.07)75.03% (-4.068 -4.07)
Lesotho Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.06% (3.358 3.36)26.94% (-3.358 -3.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.73% (4.204 4.2)62.27% (-4.203 -4.2)
Comoros Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.54% (2.312 2.31)29.46% (-2.311 -2.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.54% (2.736 2.74)65.46% (-2.736 -2.74)
Score Analysis
    Lesotho 38.73%
    Comoros 34.51%
    Draw 26.76%
LesothoDrawComoros
1-0 @ 10.4% (-1.09 -1.09)
2-1 @ 8.34% (0.473 0.47)
2-0 @ 6.83% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.65% (0.515 0.52)
3-0 @ 2.98% (0.253 0.25)
3-2 @ 2.23% (0.433 0.43)
4-1 @ 1.2% (0.261 0.26)
4-0 @ 0.98% (0.163 0.16)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 38.73%
1-1 @ 12.72% (-0.45 -0.45)
0-0 @ 7.94% (-1.689 -1.69)
2-2 @ 5.1% (0.586 0.59)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.222 0.22)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.76%
0-1 @ 9.7% (-1.331 -1.33)
1-2 @ 7.78% (0.218 0.22)
0-2 @ 5.93% (-0.4 -0.4)
1-3 @ 3.17% (0.279 0.28)
0-3 @ 2.42% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.08% (0.352 0.35)
1-4 @ 0.97% (0.14 0.14)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 34.51%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Togo 2-0 Lesotho
Wednesday, June 14 at 3pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Lesotho 0-2 Zambia
Sunday, March 26 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Zambia 3-1 Lesotho
Thursday, March 23 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Malawi 1-1 Lesotho
Saturday, February 25 at 1pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Eswatini 2-0 Lesotho
Sunday, July 10 at 4pm in COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Lesotho 2-1 Mauritius
Friday, July 8 at 4pm in COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Comoros 0-2 Ivory Coast
Tuesday, March 28 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Ivory Coast 3-1 Comoros
Friday, March 24 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Burkina Faso 2-1 Comoros
Tuesday, September 27 at 8pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Seychelles 1-2 Comoros
Sunday, July 10 at 1pm in COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Comoros 0-1 Botswana
Thursday, July 7 at 1pm in COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Angola 3-1 Comoros
Tuesday, July 5 at 4pm in COSAFA Cup


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