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COSAFA Cup | Group Stage
Jul 9, 2023 at 2pm UK
King Goodwill Zwelithini Stadium
CN
Zambia
2 - 1
Comoros
Mulambia (51'), Kangwanda (74')
Chishimba (41'), James Phiri (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Djambae (67')
Youssouf (45+2'), Youssouf (45+2'), Faidine (54'), Boina Bacar (76'), James Phiri (87')
Youssouf (77'), Youssouf (77')
Coverage of the COSAFA Cup Group Stage clash between Zambia and Comoros.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Zambia 0-1 Malawi
Thursday, July 6 at 5pm in COSAFA Cup
All competitions
COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Seychelles 0-3 Comoros
Thursday, July 6 at 2pm in COSAFA Cup
Current Group C Standings P GD PTS
1Morocco337
2Gabon315
3Comoros3-23
4Ghana3-21

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zambia win with a probability of 51.48%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Comoros had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for a Comoros win it was 0-1 (8.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zambia would win this match.

Result
ZambiaDrawComoros
51.48% (0.103 0.1) 26.12% (0.053999999999998 0.05) 22.4% (-0.158 -0.16)
Both teams to score 45.89% (-0.325 -0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.87% (-0.332 -0.33)57.13% (0.335 0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22% (-0.267 -0.27)78% (0.267 0.27)
Zambia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.72% (-0.094000000000008 -0.09)22.28% (0.096 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.26% (-0.143 -0.14)55.74% (0.143 0.14)
Comoros Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.05% (-0.347 -0.35)40.95% (0.348 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.49% (-0.31 -0.31)77.52% (0.31100000000001 0.31)
Score Analysis
    Zambia 51.47%
    Comoros 22.41%
    Draw 26.12%
ZambiaDrawComoros
1-0 @ 13.7% (0.14 0.14)
2-0 @ 10.28% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.18% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.15% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.6% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.05% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.93% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.73% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 51.47%
1-1 @ 12.23% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.13% (0.116 0.12)
2-2 @ 4.1% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 26.12%
0-1 @ 8.15% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 5.46% (-0.049 -0.05)
0-2 @ 3.64% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.63% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.22% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.08% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 1.23%
Total : 22.41%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Zambia 0-1 Malawi
Thursday, July 6 at 5pm in COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Zambia 3-0 Ivory Coast
Saturday, June 17 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Kuwait 3-0 Zambia
Monday, June 12 at 6pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Lesotho 0-2 Zambia
Sunday, March 26 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Zambia 3-1 Lesotho
Thursday, March 23 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Israel 4-2 Zambia
Thursday, November 17 at 6.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Seychelles 0-3 Comoros
Thursday, July 6 at 2pm in COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Lesotho 0-1 Comoros
Saturday, June 17 at 3pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Comoros 0-2 Ivory Coast
Tuesday, March 28 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Ivory Coast 3-1 Comoros
Friday, March 24 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Burkina Faso 2-1 Comoros
Tuesday, September 27 at 8pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Seychelles 1-2 Comoros
Sunday, July 10 at 1pm in COSAFA Cup

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