The odd aberration aside, Juventus give very little away at the back, while Nantes are hardly prolific, for all their much-improved form. A low-scoring encounter should ensue, and a one-goal margin of victory for the Old Lady would keep the tie finely balanced ahead of next week's second leg.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 50.44%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 23.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.86%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.27%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (8.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
0.13) 
-0.13) 
