SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 58.54%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 19.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.21%), while for a VfL Bochum win it was 1-2 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Freiburg in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Freiburg.
| Result | ||
| Freiburg | Draw | VfL Bochum |
58.54% ( -0.03) | 21.75% ( 0.05) | 19.71% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 55.35% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.33% ( -0.22) | 42.67% ( 0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.93% ( -0.22) | 65.07% ( 0.22) |
| Freiburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.73% ( -0.08) | 14.27% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.94% ( -0.16) | 42.05% ( 0.16) |
| VfL Bochum Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.56% ( -0.14) | 35.44% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.8% ( -0.15) | 72.2% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Freiburg | Draw | VfL Bochum |
| 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.85% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 9.59% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 6.45% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 6.22% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.14% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 3.03% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.94% Total : 58.54% | 1-1 @ 10.21% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 5.06% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 21.74% | 1-2 @ 5.3% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.25% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 1.89% Total : 19.71% |
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