Koln's maiden victory last weekend has given them a timely boost heading into a tricky encounter with Leipzig, but the Billy Goats will be regarded as the underdogs on Saturday.
Die Roten Bullen have been frustrated by Koln in recent meetings, but we believe that their in-form attackers will fire them to a comfortable victory this time around.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 56%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 22.36% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.35%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-2 (5.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.88%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
0.25) 
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