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Bundesliga | Gameweek 4
Sep 16, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
RheinEnergieStadion
HL

FC Koln
1 - 3
Hoffenheim

Selke (61')
Hubers (34'), Chabot (45+3'), Carstensen (63')
Carstensen (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Kramaric (1'), Grillitsch (28'), Beier (52')
Skov (23'), Kaderabek (68'), Brooks (70'), Grillitsch (75')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Frankfurt 1-1 FC Koln
Sunday, September 3 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hoffenheim 3-1 Wolfsburg
Saturday, September 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: FC Koln 1-2 Hoffenheim

Hoffenheim have flown out of the blocks this season and will be looking to pick up a fourth consecutive win across all competitions. Die Kraichgauer's record at the RheinEnergieStadion makes them slight favourites once again and we are backing them to snatch all three points once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 43.1%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 32.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.86%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.

Result
FC KolnDrawHoffenheim
43.1% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03) 24.74% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 32.16% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 57.61% (0.020999999999994 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.6% (0.024000000000001 0.02)45.4% (-0.026999999999994 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.27% (0.023000000000003 0.02)67.73% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.88% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)21.12% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.04% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)53.96% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.03% (0.030000000000001 0.03)26.97% (-0.032 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.69% (0.042000000000002 0.04)62.31% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    FC Koln 43.1%
    Hoffenheim 32.16%
    Draw 24.73%
FC KolnDrawHoffenheim
2-1 @ 9.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 8.86% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.89% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.68% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 3.57% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 3.07% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.82% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.39% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.19%
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 43.1%
1-1 @ 11.6%
2-2 @ 5.91% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-0 @ 5.7% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.34% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.73%
1-2 @ 7.61% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.46% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 4.89% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 3.32% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.58% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 2.14% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.09% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 32.16%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Frankfurt 1-1 FC Koln
Sunday, September 3 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: FC Koln 1-2 Wolfsburg
Saturday, August 26 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Dortmund 1-0 FC Koln
Saturday, August 19 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Osnabruck 1-3 FC Koln
Monday, August 14 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: FC Koln 1-2 Bayern
Saturday, May 27 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Werder Bremen 1-1 FC Koln
Saturday, May 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hoffenheim 3-1 Wolfsburg
Saturday, September 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Heidenheim 2-3 Hoffenheim
Saturday, August 26 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hoffenheim 1-2 Freiburg
Saturday, August 19 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Lubeck 1-4 Hoffenheim
Monday, August 14 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Fulham 2-1 Hoffenheim
Saturday, August 5 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Hoffenheim 2-2 Rangers
Saturday, July 29 at 2.30pm in Club Friendlies 1


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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