Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 46.98%. A win for Jong AZ had a probability of 29.96% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.48%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Jong AZ win was 2-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that ADO Den Haag would win this match.
