Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almere City win with a probability of 55.97%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 22.09% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almere City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.86%) and 0-2 (8.61%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 (5.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almere City would win this match.
