Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 65.12%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for De Graafschap had a probability of 15.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 1-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.13%), while for a De Graafschap win it was 1-2 (4.33%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Groningen would win this match.
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