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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 42.83%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 32.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.93%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that ADO Den Haag would win this match.
| Result | ||
| MVV Maastricht | Draw | ADO Den Haag |
32.33% ( -0.23) | 24.84% ( 0.01) | 42.83% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 57.33% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.21% ( -0.11) | 45.79% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.9% ( -0.11) | 68.1% ( 0.1) |
| MVV Maastricht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.95% ( -0.2) | 27.05% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.58% ( -0.26) | 62.41% ( 0.26) |
| ADO Den Haag Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.59% ( 0.05) | 21.41% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.59% ( 0.08) | 54.41% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| MVV Maastricht | Draw | ADO Den Haag |
| 2-1 @ 7.63% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 7.57% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.95% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.33% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.16% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.05% Total : 32.33% | 1-1 @ 11.67% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 5.79% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.84% | 1-2 @ 8.99% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.93% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 6.88% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 4.62% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.53% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 3.02% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.78% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.36% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.55% Total : 42.83% |
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