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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VVV-Venlo win with a probability of 57.45%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 22.22% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a VVV-Venlo win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.32%) and 1-3 (6.92%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 (5.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that VVV-Venlo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| MVV Maastricht | Draw | VVV-Venlo |
22.22% ( 3.03) | 20.33% ( 0.66) | 57.45% ( -3.69) |
| Both teams to score 64.52% ( 2.62) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.54% ( 1.22) | 32.45% ( -1.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.9% ( 1.4) | 54.09% ( -1.4) |
| MVV Maastricht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.74% ( 3.42) | 27.26% ( -3.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.31% ( 4.23) | 62.69% ( -4.23) |
| VVV-Venlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.7% ( -0.59) | 11.3% ( 0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.06% ( -1.3) | 35.94% ( 1.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| MVV Maastricht | Draw | VVV-Venlo |
| 2-1 @ 5.67% ( 0.55) 1-0 @ 4% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.43)2-0 @ 2.6% ( 0.31)3-1 @ 2.46% ( 0.44)3-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.22)Other @ 3.67% Total : 22.22% | 1-1 @ 8.73% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.19% ( 0.46)0-0 @ 3.08% ( -0.21)3-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.27)Other @ 0.39% Total : 20.33% | 1-2 @ 9.52% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 7.32% ( -0.88)1-3 @ 6.92% ( -0.3)0-1 @ 6.72% ( -0.62)0-3 @ 5.32% ( -0.78)2-3 @ 4.5% ( 0.23)1-4 @ 3.77% ( -0.26)0-4 @ 2.9% ( -0.51)2-4 @ 2.45% ( 0.07)1-5 @ 1.64% ( -0.16)0-5 @ 1.27% ( -0.26)2-5 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)3-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.12)Other @ 3% Total : 57.45% |
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