SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 48.15%. A win for De Graafschap had a probability of 30.21% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.91%) and 1-0 (5.79%). The likeliest De Graafschap win was 1-2 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cambuur | Draw | De Graafschap |
48.15% ( -0) | 21.64% | 30.21% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 67.95% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.59% ( 0.01) | 31.41% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.12% ( 0.01) | 52.87% ( -0.01) |
| Cambuur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.32% ( 0) | 13.67% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 59.12% ( 0) | 40.88% |
| De Graafschap Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.71% ( 0.01) | 21.29% ( -0.01) |
