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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 52.39%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 24.62% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.08%) and 0-2 (8.26%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 (6.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| MVV Maastricht | Draw | Cambuur |
24.62% ( -0.03) | 22.99% ( -0.01) | 52.39% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 57.99% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.62% ( 0.01) | 42.38% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.21% ( 0.01) | 64.79% ( -0.01) |
| MVV Maastricht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.21% ( -0.02) | 30.79% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.94% ( -0.02) | 67.06% ( 0.03) |
| Cambuur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.78% ( 0.02) | 16.21% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.29% ( 0.03) | 45.71% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| MVV Maastricht | Draw | Cambuur |
| 2-1 @ 6.3% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 5.88% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 3.46% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.47% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.36% ( -0)Other @ 2.89% Total : 24.62% | 1-1 @ 10.69% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.73% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.99% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.98% | 1-2 @ 9.73% ( 0) 0-1 @ 9.08% ( 0)0-2 @ 8.26% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 5.9% ( 0)0-3 @ 5.01% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.48% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.68% ( 0)0-4 @ 2.28% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.58% ( 0)1-5 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 3.4% Total : 52.39% |
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