SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VVV-Venlo win with a probability of 45.73%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 29.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a VVV-Venlo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 1-2 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that VVV-Venlo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| VVV-Venlo | Draw | NAC Breda |
45.73% ( -0.08) | 24.35% ( 0.02) | 29.92% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 57.84% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.4% ( -0.08) | 44.6% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.04% ( -0.08) | 66.96% ( 0.08) |
| VVV-Venlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.37% ( -0.06) | 19.63% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.4% ( -0.11) | 51.6% ( 0.1) |
| NAC Breda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.97% ( -0.01) | 28.03% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.32% ( -0.01) | 63.68% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| VVV-Venlo | Draw | NAC Breda |
| 2-1 @ 9.28% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.96% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.29% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.03% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.96% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.2% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.05% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.06% Total : 45.73% | 1-1 @ 11.39% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.5% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.34% | 1-2 @ 7.25% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.07% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.5% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 2.79% Total : 29.92% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
