Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 49.53%. A win for Emmen had a probability of 28.56% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.51%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Emmen win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that De Graafschap would win this match.

Result
De Graafschap	Draw	Emmen
49.53% ( -0.09)	21.92% ( 0.03)	28.56% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 65.66% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.08% (

-0.09)

33.92% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.23% (

-0.1)

55.77% (

0.11)

De Graafschap Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.86% (

-0.06)

14.14% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.2% (

-0.12)

41.8% (

0.13)

Emmen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.47% (

-0)

23.53% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.42% (

-0.01)

57.58% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

De Graafschap 49.53%

Emmen 28.56%

Draw 21.92%

De Graafschap	Draw	Emmen
2-1 @ 9.21% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.51% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.37% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.01% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.15% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.94% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.03% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) 4-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.67% Total : 49.53%	1-1 @ 9.42% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.66% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.33% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.42% Total : 21.92%	1-2 @ 6.81% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.82% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.48% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.29% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.21% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.19% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0) Other @ 2.92% Total : 28.56%