SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Den Bosch win with a probability of 46.39%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 31.02% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Den Bosch win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.7%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Den Bosch | Draw | Jong Ajax |
46.39% ( -0.05) | 22.59% ( 0.01) | 31.02% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 64.83% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.31% ( -0.04) | 35.69% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.24% ( -0.05) | 57.76% ( 0.04) |
| Den Bosch Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.11% ( -0.03) | 15.89% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.89% ( -0.06) | 45.11% ( 0.06) |
| Jong Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.07% ( -0) | 22.93% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.3% ( -0) | 56.7% |
| Score Analysis |
| Den Bosch | Draw | Jong Ajax |
| 2-1 @ 9.08% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.7% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.17% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.57% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 4.1% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.78% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.56% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.89% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.74% ( -0)5-1 @ 0.94% ( -0)4-3 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 2.94% Total : 46.39% | 1-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.69% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.64% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 2.01% ( -0)Other @ 0.38% Total : 22.59% | 1-2 @ 7.27% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.36% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.95% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.57% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.28% 0-3 @ 1.94% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.31% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.21% ( -0)Other @ 3.13% Total : 31.02% |
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