SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 57.72%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Dordrecht had a probability of 20.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.34%), while for a Dordrecht win it was 1-2 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| De Graafschap | Draw | Dordrecht |
57.72% ( -1.6) | 22.01% ( 0.45) | 20.27% ( 1.16) |
| Both teams to score 55.38% ( 0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.93% ( -0.31) | 43.07% ( 0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.53% ( -0.3) | 65.47% ( 0.31) |
| De Graafschap Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.34% ( -0.6) | 14.66% ( 0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.18% ( -1.18) | 42.82% ( 1.18) |
| Dordrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.9% ( 1.02) | 35.1% ( -1.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.15% ( 1.05) | 71.85% ( -1.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| De Graafschap | Draw | Dordrecht |
| 2-1 @ 9.93% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 9.88% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 9.49% ( -0.29)3-1 @ 6.35% ( -0.16)3-0 @ 6.07% ( -0.32)3-2 @ 3.33% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.05% ( -0.14)4-0 @ 2.91% ( -0.22)4-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.08)5-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.82% Total : 57.72% | 1-1 @ 10.34% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 5.2% ( 0.13)0-0 @ 5.15% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.01% | 1-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.25) 0-1 @ 5.39% ( 0.22)0-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.19)1-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.14)2-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.09)Other @ 1.96% Total : 20.27% |
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