Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 61.48%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Dordrecht had a probability of 17.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.63%) and 0-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a Dordrecht win it was 2-1 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that De Graafschap would win this match.
0.1) 
-0.21) 
