SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 61.48%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Dordrecht had a probability of 17.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.63%) and 0-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a Dordrecht win it was 2-1 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that De Graafschap would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dordrecht | Draw | De Graafschap |
17.99% ( 0.1) | 20.54% ( 0.11) | 61.48% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 56.34% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.15% ( -0.34) | 39.85% ( 0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.79% ( -0.35) | 62.21% ( 0.36) |
| Dordrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.38% ( -0.09) | 35.62% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.61% ( -0.09) | 72.39% ( 0.1) |
| De Graafschap Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.51% ( -0.16) | 12.49% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.52% ( -0.34) | 38.47% ( 0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dordrecht | Draw | De Graafschap |
| 2-1 @ 4.93% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 4.59% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 2.37% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.7% ( 0)Other @ 2.63% Total : 17.99% | 1-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.45% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 20.54% | 1-2 @ 9.94% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 9.63% ( 0.03)0-1 @ 9.26% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 6.89% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 6.67% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 3.58% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 3.56% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 3.47% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.85% ( -0.03)1-5 @ 1.49% ( -0.03)0-5 @ 1.44% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.7% Total : 61.48% |
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