Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 52.37%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 23.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.66%) and 0-2 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for a Jong FC Utrecht win it was 1-0 (6.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Emmen would win this match.
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