Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 61.47%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 19.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.09%) and 3-1 (7.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.52%), while for a Jong Ajax win it was 1-2 (5.08%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Emmen would win this match.
-0.03) 
0.01) 
