SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 61.47%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 19.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.09%) and 3-1 (7.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.52%), while for a Jong Ajax win it was 1-2 (5.08%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Emmen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Emmen | Draw | Jong Ajax |
61.47% ( -0.03) | 19.47% ( 0.01) | 19.05% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 62.4% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.07% ( 0.02) | 32.92% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.36% ( 0.02) | 54.64% ( -0.02) |
| Emmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.59% ( -0) | 10.41% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.04% ( -0.01) | 33.95% ( 0.01) |
| Jong Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.65% ( 0.04) | 30.35% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.46% ( 0.05) | 66.54% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Emmen | Draw | Jong Ajax |
| 2-1 @ 9.64% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.09% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 7.27% ( -0)1-0 @ 7.15% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.1% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 4.34% ( 0)4-1 @ 4.11% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.45% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.45% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.86% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.56% ( -0)5-2 @ 1.11% ( 0)4-3 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 3.37% Total : 61.47% | 1-1 @ 8.52% 2-2 @ 5.75% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.16% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.72% ( 0)Other @ 0.32% Total : 19.47% | 1-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 3.77% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.28% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.25% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.02% ( 0)Other @ 3.66% Total : 19.05% |
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