Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 61.47%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 19.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.09%) and 3-1 (7.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.52%), while for a Jong Ajax win it was 1-2 (5.08%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Emmen would win this match.

Result
Emmen	Draw	Jong Ajax
61.47% ( -0.03)	19.47% ( 0.01)	19.05% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 62.4% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.07% (

0.02)

32.92% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.36% (

0.02)

54.64% (

-0.02)

Emmen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.59% (

-0)

10.41% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.04% (

-0.01)

33.95% (

0.01)

Jong Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.65% (

0.04)

30.35% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.46% (

0.05)

66.54% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Emmen 61.47%

Jong Ajax 19.05%

Draw 19.47%

Emmen	Draw	Jong Ajax
2-1 @ 9.64% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.09% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.27% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.15% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.1% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 4.34% ( 0) 4-1 @ 4.11% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.45% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.45% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.86% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.56% ( -0) 5-2 @ 1.11% ( 0) 4-3 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 3.37% Total : 61.47%	1-1 @ 8.52% 2-2 @ 5.75% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.16% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.72% ( 0) Other @ 0.32% Total : 19.47%	1-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 3.77% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.25% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.02% ( 0) Other @ 3.66% Total : 19.05%