SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 61.29%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Emmen had a probability of 18.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.55%) and 1-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a Emmen win it was 1-2 (4.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Willem II would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Willem II | Draw | Emmen |
61.29% ( 0.07) | 20.56% ( -0.02) | 18.15% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 56.59% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.33% ( -0.01) | 39.66% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.98% ( -0.01) | 62.01% ( 0) |
| Willem II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.51% ( 0.01) | 12.49% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.53% ( 0.04) | 38.46% ( -0.04) |
| Emmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.67% ( -0.06) | 35.33% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.91% ( -0.06) | 72.09% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Willem II | Draw | Emmen |
| 2-1 @ 9.93% 2-0 @ 9.55% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 9.18% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.89% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.62% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.58% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.58% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.44% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.86% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.49% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.72% Total : 61.29% | 1-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.41% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 20.56% | 1-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.59% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.69% Total : 18.15% |
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